Are iPad Skeptics as Wrong as iPhone Naysayers Were?

Lastly, the iPhone is a defensive product. It is mainly designed to protect the iPod, which is coming under attack from mobile manufacturers adding music players to their handsets. Yet defensive products don’t usually work — consumers are interested in new things, not reheated versions of old things. Likewise, who is it pitched at? The price and the e-mail features make it look like a business product. But Apple is a consumer company. Will your accounts department stump up for a fancy new handset just so you can listen to Eminem on your way to a business meeting?

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Apple will sell a few to its fans, but the iPhone won’t make a long-term mark on the industry.

Harry says: McCracken’s Fourth Law of Apple Predictions states that the more definitive a dismissal of an Apple product is, the more likely that it’ll turn out to be ludicrously wrong. While Lynn’s piece is dated almost a week after the iPhone was announced, it almost reads like it was written beforehand–I don’t see how anyone who was paying attention could conclude that the phone was “a defensive product” that was “mainly designed to protect the iPod.”

Richard Sprague, a Microsoft employee and former Apple evangelist, in “ Steve Jobs Says Java is History ,” January 18th, 2007 and “ More on Why iPhone Will Fail ,” January 26th, 2007:

I can’t believe the hype being given to iPhone. Even some of my blindly-loyal pro-Microsoft friends and colleagues talk like it’s a real innovation and will “redefine the market” or “usher in a new age”.

What!?!? Without even mentioning that the same functionality has been available on PocketPC, Palm, Nokia, and Blackberry for years, I just have to wonder who will want one of these things (other than the religious faithful). People need this to be a phone, first and foremost. But with 5 hours of battery life? No keypad? (you try typing a phone number on that screen, no matter how wonderful it is — you will want a keypad). And for all that whiz-bang Internet access, you absolutely need the phone to work, immediately, every single time. Will it do that?

For comprehensive coverage of the Android ecosystem, visit Greenbot.com.

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